Chris Christie Scandals Blog

FROM KAVANAUGH TO CARAVAN… The ‘Blue Wave’ Ebbs into the ‘Red Tide’

The 2018 Midterm Election Analysis & Predictions
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By Louis Manzo / October 2018
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It is once again time for the blog to forecast the upcoming 2018 midterm elections. Our predictions of the past national and state elections, since 2014, has been off the charts accurate.
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GOVERNMENT INTELLIGENCE GONE ‘MAD’: Spy vs. Spy

Blog Analysis of Corrupt Deep State Probe

By Louis Manzo / June 2018

Any public relations person worth their salt will advise their clients to get way ahead of any bad news on the horizon by managing and controlling the release of the harmful information whenever possible—attempting to put the best spin possible on the bad news. Thus, explains a leak to the New York Times, a week or so ago, by DOJ sources, regarding government informants and/or spies inserted into the Trump presidential campaign.

Analogous to this is Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein [at present, the most conflicted attorney in the world] hijacking of the overdue Inspector General’s report of the DOJ’s handling of the Hillary Clinton espionage and email scandal. Rosenstein is trying to soften and purge the report of evidence and conclusions that may well incriminate him and other higherups at the DOJ.
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FEDERAL BENCH SLAPS DOWN THE MUELLER AND ROSENSTEIN GESTAPO

By Louis Manzo / May 2018
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The past several blogs, in keeping with the traditional format of this website’s blog, have dealt with exposing injustice at the hands of the government while carrying out investigations and attempted prosecutions. This blog continues in that vein.
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This blog sharply criticized Special Counsel Robert Mueller and Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein. Mueller was assigned to investigate the Trump 2016 Presidential campaign related to possible Russian collusion, along with any potential obstruction of justice that is associated with the DOJ’s investigation of the matter. Mueller is a surrogate of Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, who is the power behind the throne at the DOJ, dominating the action there since the recusal and feeble legal capabilities of Attorney General Jeff Sessions have relegated him as irrelevant.
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Federal Judge T.S. Ellis III, in the case that Mueller brought against Paul Manafort, excoriated Mueller’s prosecution team and characterized the Special Counsel’s office as lying to seek unfettered power, amongst other harsh criticisms—many of which this blog had forewarned about. Manafort was briefly hired by the Trump campaign to help retain delegates during the primary and nomination segments of the Presidential campaign.
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MUELLER AND ROSENSTEIN LAUNCH POLICE STATE

The Death of Attorney-Client Privilege

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By Louis Manzo / April 2018

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Welcome to the American Police State.
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Whether you are a Trump supporter or hater, or you simply don’t care; YOU MUST PAY ATTENTION TO WHAT IS HAPPENING AT THE TOP LEVELS OF THE DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE—it might serve to strip you of a fundamental due process guarantee: the attorney-client privilege.
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If Special Counsel Robert Mueller and Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein’s latest tactic of going after the lawyers of their targets holds legal muster, then this basic fundamental of due process is dead. No longer will clients reliably confide in their lawyers, and no longer will attorneys be able to give confidential advice to their clients, without the guarantee that such informational exchanges cannot be monitored by government prosecutors. The Fourth and Sixth Amendments of the United States Constitution protects the privacy of attorney-client privilege that Mueller and Rosenstein are hoping to kick to the curb.
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The Department of Justice has never sought the privileged materials between any American President and his lawyer, EVER—and that includes Andrew Johnson, Richard Nixon, and Bill Clinton. Should this intrusion of Constitutional guarantees stand, it opens the door for another prosecutor on another day to threaten other Constitutional protections typically standing in the way of prosecutions—such as protections and shield laws provided for protecting reporters and their sources and to priests and their confessors. Attorney-client privilege is only the first step on this slippery slope. Read more →

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Potpourri: Odds & Ends

By Louis Manzo / March 2018

It has been a while since the last blog—I’ve been busy rewriting, editing, and preparing for the release of my next book, AN IRISH LULLABY. The book will be traditionally published by Moonshine Cove Publishing of South Carolina. It is a fiction genre and will be available on Amazon and bookstores [late summer/early fall] this year.
So, let’s catch up. Here is an assortment of major news media stories still evolving, and, of course, more predictions which, as the blog record shows [predictions in previous blogs calculate to a better than 90% success rate], will soon become fact!

Christie Maybe Wildcard as Trump Reshuffles the Deck
As President Donald trump continues to remake his cabinet and White House staff, don’t count out former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie as someone the President will tap for a key position. The President is getting rid of, for the most part, initial appointments that he made on the recommendations of others—mainly to soothe the DC establishment. Read more →

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****DEBATE BULLETIN**** Impossible for Hillary to Win Debates

 

[by Louis Manzo / September 26, 2016]

     Hillary Clinton might be the only person who could make Ken Kesey’s character from One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest, “Nurse Ratched,” appear to be lovable by comparison. Clinton’s political health is currently on par with her physical health—-not too good! Now, herself and her own campaign, assisted by a fanatically devout and delusional mainstream news media, have made it impossible for Clinton to win the first, and perhaps any, presidential debates.

     As I had stated in my previous blog that predicted the course of the Presidential campaign and election, as long as the three key polling factors remained above the 50% threshold—-American’s who feel that the country is headed in the wrong direction, that Clinton is dishonest, and that Clinton’s email fiasco alibi is untruthful—-then Hillary Clinton could not win the election. Clinton’s strategy to deal with this was to demonize Trump and his supporters through the use of campaign advertisements, speeches, and her mainstream media foils.

     All Trump has to do is to appear opposite of how Clinton and the media have portrayed him and he will walk away the debate winner. Millions of undecided voters, paying attention to the election for the first time, will see an affable Donald Trump, and not the monster that Clinton and the media have portrayed him to be. This is the exact same scenario that paralleled the 1980 presidential campaign between Ronald Reagan and President Jimmy Carter. The media of that time portrayed Reagan as a fool and bumbler, he was anything but in his television debate appearances. Read more →

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“CONVENTIONAL” WISDOM: THE CRYSTAL BALL FOR WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN THIS NOVEMBER’S PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION… AND WHY!

By Louis Manzo / August 5, 2016

BLOG FORECASTS CONTINUE REDHOT!!!!

     The blog is on fire! Dating back to the 2014 midterm elections, the blog has been astonishingly accurate in predicting election results and explaining to its readers “why”. The blog has already successfully forecast the GOP Primary right down to the final combatants. We then told you that Donald Trump would prevail and explained why.

     Today’s blog will tell you what the November Presidential election results will bring.

     The blog had also predicted that Hillary Clinton would not be the Democrat nominee on the ballot in November. On that count, the blog was wrong…so far. The reasoning: after reviewing the law and circumstances regarding Clinton’s server and e-mail scandal while she was heading up the State Department, it was felt that she would be indicted. The majority of lawyers and former prosecutors appearing on left and right leaning media talk shows agreed.

     Apparently, FBI Director James Comey felt evidence of “intent” was needed to prosecute a statute that did not require it. Comey actually created additional elements for prosecuting the crime, that were not established by Congress for the law, in order to give himself cover. Who could account for what actually went on during the days between Comey’s bizarre statement, and the impromptu meeting between Comey’s boss and former President Bill Clinton on an airport tarmac, in the middle of nowhere. Something that none of us would be aware of to this day, had not a local news crew stumbled onto the stealth participants.

     Was the fix in? Those of you who read about politicized prosecutions and DOJ corruption in Ruthless Ambition know that the answer to the question is a resounding, “YES!” Democrat and Republican elite are above the law. Let me cite a passage from Chapter Ten of the book: Read more →

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THE 2016 GOP PRIMARY SAGA: The End of the Line

By Louis Manzo / April 14, 2016

     Since the Wisconsin primary, the GOP establishment [party officials, insiders, lobbyist, financers and their PACS, and operatives] have been fast afoot in their 100-day mission to destroy Donald Trump’s campaign for the GOP nomination. Judging from the primary results in Wisconsin and the results of the Colorado caucus, that plan is working.

     The strategy was most likely put together by political architects such as Karl Rove and other party players—mostly, former supporters of the Bush political family. Their own guy, Jeb, went down faster than a box of donuts at a Weight Watcher’s meeting. They next shifted their support to Marco Rubio, whose candidacy lasted about as long as a toupee in a hurricane. Now they’ve saddled up with Ted Cruz…not to win [they can’t stand him either], but, instead, to take delegates away from Trump—in order to deny him the nomination.

     The establishment and donor class of both the GOP and Democrat Party’s really never lose. Through the power of money, they are able to maintain power no matter who is in office. They especially thrive in a situation where one party controls the White House and the other the Congress—such as now. Lobbyists flourish in this type of climate.

    The establishment can’t trust Trump because he hasn’t taken their money and is therefore not obligated to them. That makes Trump a danger to them. And, yes, they would even feel more comfortable with Hillary Clinton as President. At least they can still do business.

    So how will all this end?

     First, understand this, none of what you have heard about the GOP Convention Rules, other than the magic delegate number of 1237 needed to nominate, will apply to this year’s convention. The rules for this year’s convention will be written by a yet to be named committee just prior to the convention. The establishment typically controls the goings on of this crucial committee, which will determine the rules and qualifications for the nomination on the first and subsequent ballots of the convention.

     Cruz and Kasich have no chance of securing the nomination on the first ballot at this point; and as long as they don’t unbind their delegates, they can possibly prevent Trump from reaching the magic 1237 number.

     Here’s the math:

     Trump currently has 755 delegates—482 delegates shy of the nomination. Next up is Wyoming [29 delegates]. The Wyoming precinct caucused on March 1st but did not bind all of their delegates. The delegate selection process will culminate at the state convention on April 14-16. Delegates from Wyoming can be bound or unbound.

     Trump has very little opportunity of winning a majority of delegates in Wyoming for the same reason that he got blown away in Colorado—he has a lousy political field campaign organization, and because this type of delegate selection process has been purposefully designed by the party bosses to benefit the party bosses. Look for Cruz, [who, as we noted several blogs ago, has the best field operation in the game] with the assistance of the establishment, to triumph in Wyoming.

     Incidentally, Pennsylvania holds a primary but still unbinds 54 of their 71 delegates. Here, Trump can and should win the popular vote, but he can then witness the party establishment, which controls the delegate selection process, still deny him a majority of the delegates to be awarded.

     It should be noted that Trump has just hired a seasoned political mastermind for the delegation process, Paul Manafort. Manafort has already caught the establishment inserting Trojan Horse delegates as representatives for the delegate seats already won by Trump—-meaning that these individuals will only vote for Trump on the first ballot and then vote as they are told to do in subsequent ballots. Manafort is what Trump’s campaign needed from the get-go. Even though it’s late in the game, Manafort will at least stop the hemorrhaging and exorcise some of the Trojan delegates.

     Excluding Wyoming and Pennsylvania, there are 159 delegates available in “the primary winner takes all of the delegates” states [Delaware 16, Nebraska 36, Montana 27, New Jersey 51, and South Dakota 29], and there are 539 delegates available in states that proportion the allotment of delegates based on primary voting [New York 95, Connecticut 28, Maryland 38, Rhode Island 19, Indiana 57, Nebraska 36, West Virginia 34, Oregon 28, Washington 44, New Mexico 24, and California 172].

     When the dust clears, the assessment here is that Trump will be about 50 votes shy of the magic 1237 number. If Trump can maintain his huge lead in New York and pickup 85 or 90 delegates, then he has an opportunity to cut the 50 delegate deficit down to 30. Trump’s team might also be able to pressure Pennsylvania to commit additional delegates to his side because of the primary vote. Any additional campaign gaffes between now and the last primary date will only hurt Trump in reaching his goal.

     This still leaves approximately 80 unbound delegates up for grabs. If Trump and his team are worth their salt, and can employ the “Art of the Deal,” they are in the hunt. Additionally, if former candidates, Rubio and Carson, unbind their delegates before the convention’s first ballot, then they put into play an additional combined 179 delegates from which Trump has an opportunity to persuade and move over to his side in order to put him over the top.

      Trump will most likely reach out to Rubio and offer him the vice presidency. If that fails, he will make a pass at Kasich before the first ballot. Kasich definitely controls the delegates in his home state of Ohio.

     Kasich’s problem is that he honestly believes that he has a shot at winning the nomination in subsequent balloting. Not a chance! The establishment would hand the nomination over to someone new [Romney, Bush, or Ryan] before opting to go for Kasich. Another real disaster scenario.

     It is very doubtful that, given the Cruz field team’s organizing skills and the establishment’s advantage, Trump could win the nomination in subsequent floor votes, once the delegates are unbound after the initial floor vote. In this scenario, Cruz would win, but there will be tremendous fallout. Under this situation, Trump will have entered the convention with 2 million popular votes more than his nearest opponents, along with the most delegates, but not the majority of delegates.

      The average GOP voter will not understand the party rules, nor care to listen to excuses about why the leading vote getter and delegate collector—in an, at one time, more than ten-person candidate field—was denied the nomination. The average GOP voter will feel that Trump was screwed by their enemy as well—the GOP establishment. The party would implode!

     Incidentally, there is a trap that’s been laid here for Cruz. If, before the primaries, Cruz attempts to argue that this process is rational, he will draw the wrath of voters who don’t understand process but know fairness. He will pay a heavy price in these future primary states to the benefit of Trump. That is because, like him or not, American Republicans will believe, and overwhelmingly support, the case that Trump is making: he should be the nominee because he got the most votes. The easiest argument for John Q. Public to understand!

      The prediction here is that Trump prevails by a whisker…or even less.

 

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OF EMAILS, SMALL HANDS, AND BROKERED CONVENTIONS

     Louis Manzo March 8, 2016

     If you’ve been following my blogs for the past year, then you have noticed the uncanny and scarily accurate forecasting that I’ve been making relative to current events and national elections. [Short recap: successful predictions of the 2014 national midterm and statewide elections, the slow and steady demise of the Democrat Party, accurate prophesy to date of the current Dem and GOP presidential primaries, the failure of Jeb Bush, and the resignation of John Boehner.]

     My ideology and political philosophy do not factor into my predictions. [I am a lifelong Democrat.] Though many of you may choose to kill the messenger, my only motive is to continue keeping the readers of this blog the best informed.

     My forecasting is based upon an assortment of national polling data that tests the temperature and the mood of the American electorate, as well as policies and happenings impacting current events in the country. I rarely rely on horserace polling between candidates—it is becoming more and more unreliable in today’s politics, though favorability ratings of political personalities do factor in.

    Thus far, the GOP debates have had all the dignity of a Monday Night Raw wrestling match. The only thing that seems to be missing from the GOP forums are whip cream pies. Read more →

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2015 ELECTIONS: GOP & DEM PARTY BELTWAY INSIDERS REMAIN OUT OF TOUCH WITH THE COUNTRY—American People Attracted to Outsider Candidates

 

By Louis Manzo / November 10, 2015

     More Americans pulled levers for non-incumbent candidates with little political office experience in the recent November elections. Most of those candidates were Republicans, and most were either center or right of center in political ideology.

     DEM’S lost the Sheriff’s seat in the liberal bastion of San Francisco, where even progressives sent their party a message about “sanctuary city” policies. In Kentucky, the DEM’S lost 4 of 5 statewide constitutional offices, including the governorship for only the second time in 48 years. The DEM’S took surprising losses in Virginia as well.

    This continues a trend that was forecast in this blog just before the November 2014 elections. More than two-thirds of the legislative houses of the States in this country are now held by Republican, as are 33 Governor’s seats. Read more →

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